Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.854602 0.995559 1.152072 1.338697 1.555149 1.798287 2.092161
2025-01-19 0.600216 0.780492 1.003047 1.297813 1.677918 2.151621 2.787138
2025-01-26 0.487218 0.684752 0.947547 1.322352 1.843053 2.540993 3.548336
2025-02-02 0.431794 0.646401 0.949763 1.409178 2.087079 3.050765 4.526144
2025-02-09 0.379094 0.599470 0.927805 1.451570 2.265789 3.483563 5.445284
2025-02-16 0.332704 0.552610 0.896050 1.470012 2.404844 3.867879 6.334200
2025-02-23 0.291775 0.506911 0.857683 1.469360 2.508906 4.204456 7.183452
2025-03-02 0.255958 0.463652 0.816100 1.455432 2.585662 4.501011 7.997487
2025-03-09 0.228501 0.430416 0.786108 1.455559 2.683406 4.839769 8.919225
2025-03-16 0.197797 0.386709 0.731539 1.403704 2.680390 4.999742 9.538608
2025-03-23 0.190818 0.386192 0.754784 1.497034 2.953286 5.683153 11.195478
2025-03-30 0.168275 0.352260 0.710728 1.455863 2.964684 5.880788 11.951539
2025-04-06 0.147275 0.319039 0.664798 1.406996 2.958691 6.051706 12.692389
2025-04-13 0.129533 0.290188 0.624095 1.363786 2.959388 6.237432 13.490738
2025-04-20 0.120351 0.278357 0.616882 1.389547 3.106463 6.736085 14.999853
2025-04-27 0.117491 0.280107 0.638701 1.480731 3.405185 7.585381 17.363621
2025-05-04 0.111095 0.272826 0.639663 1.525250 3.605617 8.245568 19.389275
2025-05-11 0.103507 0.261641 0.630298 1.544617 3.750640 8.798971 21.238185
2025-05-18 0.095401 0.248029 0.613475 1.543932 3.847952 9.253832 22.909618
2025-05-25 0.087299 0.233291 0.592083 1.529305 3.909636 9.632187 24.442791
2025-06-01 0.080845 0.221888 0.577402 1.529440 4.007538 10.107331 26.269540
2025-06-08 0.072237 0.203589 0.543098 1.474982 3.960436 10.223006 27.207192
2025-06-15 0.071757 0.207289 0.565883 1.572994 4.320591 11.395610 31.002278